Overconfidence in Political Behavior

Online Appendix for Overconfidence in Political Behavior

Confidence and Overconfidence in Political Economy∗

This paper studies the role of overconfidence in political behavior. We posit a simple model of overconfidence in beliefs. The model predicts that overconfidence leads to ideological extremeness, increased voter turnout, and increased strength of partisan identification. Moreover, the model makes many nuanced predictions about the patterns of ideology in society, and over a person’s lifetime. W...

political economy of china in central asia

this research is about the political economy of china in central asia. in this research the political & economic interactions affected on chinas political economy in central asia are examined. chinas goal of presence in central asia including political-security, economic and energy goals is described in one part. in another part, the trade relations between china and central asian countries ar...

Political strategies, entrepreneurial overconfidence and foreign direct investment in developing countries

Foreign investors in developing countries are exposed to comparatively high levels of environmental uncertainty and often use political activities to manage this uncertainty. At the same time, international entrepreneurs seek out uncertain environments, because of the potential opportunities and upside potential associated with uncertain situations. We investigate the interplay between politica...

Candidate Genes and Political Behavior

Political scientists are making increasing use of the methodologies of behavior genetics in an attempt to uncover whether or not political behavior is heritable, as well as the specific genotypes that might act as predisposing factors for—or predictors of—political “phenotypes.” Noteworthy among the latter are a series of candidate gene association studies in which researchers claim to have dis...